Saturday, January 11, 2014

Link to Seeking Alpha Article on JBSS

Seeking Alpha Article

Summary Valuation is below


Valuation Model Summary      
Valuation Figure 1: DCF - Free Cash Flow WACC Model Valuation Figure 2: Enterprise Value to Cash Flow Model Valuation Figure 3:  Net Asst Value
10 Year Treasury 3.00% EBITDA  55,073 Entity EV EBITDA Multiple Weight Equity Mkt Cap  267,215 Total Assets 373,261
Beta 1.25 Capex  (11,000) JBSS  352,840  55,073  6.4 0 Total Debt 86,820 Adj Intangibles (7,218)
Equity Risk Premium 4.96% Working Capital  (2,300)  



Less Cash: (1,195) Adjust DTA (1,002)
Cost of Equity 9.20% FCF  41,773 DMND  1,160,000  99,811  11.6  0.50 Enterprise Value  352,840 Re Mkt Val Adj. 17,683
Cost of Debt 5.50% Growth Rate 2.0% LNCE  2,540,000  178,650  14.2  0.08 EBiTDA TTM  55,073 Gross Asset Value 382,724
Tax Rate 0.3512 Mutliple 12.8 HSH  4,680,000  495,000  9.5  0.08 EV/EBITDA (Implied) 11.1 Liabilities 150,747
After Tax Cost of Debt 3.57% Enterprise Value  534,254 THS  3,300,000  302,840  10.9  0.08 Proj EV  610,452 FV Debt Adj & Def Tax ($3,852)
Total Debt 86,820 Equity Value 447,434 SENECA  6,444,900  673,400  9.6  0.25 Equity Value  524,827 Net Asset Value 228,125
Market Cap  267,215.13 FCF Value  $40.32  



EV Share Price  $47.29 NAV p/Share  20.56
Debt % 24.52% Current Price 24.08  



Current Price  $24.08 Current Price  $24.08
WACC 7.82% Target Gain 67.44%         11.1 Target Gain 96.41% Target Gain -14.63%

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